Article — CEPA — Strategic Autonomy Will Be Won in Europe's Empty Car Plants
Repurposing excess automotive capacity for defence production is the biggest industrial prize on the continent. Defending democratic, open societies in a war largely fought by unmanned systems will be decided in factories before it is decided in the field. My perspective for the Center for European Policy Analysis here.
Article — RUSI — The Next China Shock Will Hit Defence
If tomorrow’s wars are fought mainly by machines, victory belongs to the power that can fuse AI with robotics and build the result by the million. Today, that is China. For the West's industrial base, it is a warning and an opportunity. Read the article on RUSI here.
Article — Security.Table — Four Easy Fixes for German Defence Procurement
Four easy fixes for German defence procurement in my German-language article for Security.Table here.
Article — Globe and Mail — The Defence, Security and Resilience Bank could be transformative for NATO, if only its mission were more ambitious
The new US$134-billion defence bank could be transformative for NATO, if only its mission were more ambitious. NATO allies don't need another lender. Canada's Defence, Security and Resilience Bank should unlock private capital by underwriting risks, not by lending. Read my OpEd in THE GLOBE AND MAIL here.
Article — RUSI — Cheap Attack, Expensive Defence: NATO 5% Pledge Following Iran and Ukraine
My article here on RUSI — the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, Europe's oldest defence think tank.
Article — Modern Diplomacy — Germany's 2029 Reckoning: Without More Innovation, NATO's Eastern Flank Remains Exposed
Modern Diplomacy article here. Will Germany succeed in swapping its engine of peace and prosperity? We are entering a historical phase where prosperity comes disproportionately from founders who take risks, and where the need for government functions to modernize has become quite urgent.
European NATO countries cannot ignore that AI speeds up military targeting by 100x. It would be naive to assume NATO adversaries are not prepared to deploy these rapidly evolving capabilities against the West to the fullest extent. Therefore, Europe needs to invest in mechanisms to deploy these capabilities in ways that are aligned with the values of our resilient democracies, and move on from the current 'head in the sand' mindset.